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On 30 August the Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare from Chaos Rising was worth €186.81. On 12 October it hit the bottom at €119.35. Today, 20 October, it is worth €133.60: €53 less than at the end of August, but €14 more than eight days ago. If you own it, you have lost more than a quarter of its value. If you wanted it, the lowest point may already be behind us.
This is the third episode of Sets that are losing money, the series where we compare prices from before the 30th Celebration release with today's. After Phantasmal Flames and Pitch Black, it is the turn of Chaos Rising.
In short. From the first available DarkDex price to 20 October 2026, Mega Greninja ex #116 went from €186.81 to €133.60 (-28%), the Mega Hyper Rare #122 from €128.82 to €86.10 (-33%), Cinccino ex #119 from €26.97 to €23.75 (-12%). The top 5 cards together were worth €392.48 and today are worth €289.81: -26%, a quarter of their value. Of the 13 cards that started at €5 or more, 11 went down, one is flat and one went up. Since 12 October, though, the ten most expensive cards have won back 5%.
How much Chaos Rising cards have dropped
These are the ten most expensive Chaos Rising cards today, with their DarkDex Price on 20 October:
Mega Greninja ex€133.60
Mega Greninja ex€86.103
Mega Dragalge ex€28.074
Cinccino ex€23.755
Mega Floette ex€18.296
AZ's Tranquility€14.357
Roxie's Performance€13.508
Mega Greninja ex€7.239
Special Red Card€5.1710
Froakie€4.36And this is the comparison with the first DarkDex price for the thirteen cards that started at €5 or more. For six cards the history starts on 30 August; for the others it starts on 17 September, the day after the 30th Celebration release, because before that there were not enough sales for a reliable price.
| Card | First price | Lowest | 20 October | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Greninja ex (#116) | €186.81 (30/08) | €119.35 (12/10) | €133.60 | -28% |
| Mega Greninja ex Mega Hyper Rare (#122) | €128.82 (30/08) | €86.10 (10/10) | €86.10 | -33% |
| Mega Dragalge ex (#118) | €28.79 (17/09) | €23.18 (06/10) | €28.07 | -3% |
| Cinccino ex (#119) | €26.97 (30/08) | €22.80 (16/10) | €23.75 | -12% |
| Mega Floette ex (#117) | €21.09 (17/09) | €18.28 (13/10) | €18.29 | -13% |
| AZ's Tranquility (#120) | €15.23 (17/09) | €14.26 (08/10) | €14.35 | -6% |
| Mega Greninja ex (#100) | €12.75 (30/08) | €7.23 (20/10) | €7.23 | -43% |
| Roxie's Performance (#121) | €10.60 (17/09) | €10.60 (17/09) | €13.50 | +27% |
| Xerneas (#091) | €5.81 (30/08) | €3.52 (20/10) | €3.52 | -39% |
| Froakie (#088) | €5.81 (17/09) | €3.43 (16/10) | €4.36 | -25% |
| Mega Floette ex (#101) | €5.74 (30/08) | €2.37 (20/10) | €2.37 | -59% |
| Frogadier (#089) | €5.54 (17/09) | €2.90 (17/10) | €3.89 | -30% |
| Special Red Card (#113) | €5.17 (17/09) | €3.22 (05/10) | €5.17 | 0% |
Eleven out of thirteen went down. The exception is Roxie's Performance, the only top card worth more today than in mid-September: from €10.60 to €13.50. The Ultra Rares did worst in percentage terms: Mega Greninja ex #100 -43%, Mega Floette ex #101 -59%, and both are still at their lowest.
What Mega Greninja ex from Chaos Rising is worth today
The Mega Greninja ex #116 Special Illustration Rare is worth €133.60 on 20 October, against €186.81 on 30 August. It hit the bottom on 12 October at €119.35 and has won back 12% since. The Mega Hyper Rare #122, the gold version, went from €128.82 to €86.10 and is still at its lowest. The Ultra Rare #100 fell from €12.75 to €7.23. Every version of the card and how to tell them apart is on the page about the most expensive Chaos Rising cards.
The two rarest Greninja versions explain almost the whole drop: of the €103 lost by the top 5 cards, €96 come from #116 and #122. The other Special Illustration Rares fell only a little: Mega Dragalge ex -3%, AZ's Tranquility -6%, Cinccino ex -12%, Mega Floette ex -13%.
The top 5 cards and the curve of the ten most expensive
The five most expensive Chaos Rising cards (Mega Greninja ex #116 and #122, Mega Dragalge ex, Cinccino ex, Mega Floette ex) were worth €392.48 together at their first DarkDex price. Today they are worth €289.81: -26%, €103 less. If you want the set's top cards, today you spend a quarter less.
To see how the set moved, we added up the DarkDex Price of the ten most expensive cards as of 17 September:
| Date | Value of the 10 cards |
|---|---|
| 17 September | €406 |
| 24 September | €368 |
| 1 October | €348 |
| 7 October | €338 |
| 12 October | €318 (the bottom) |
| 16 October | €326 |
| 20 October | €333 |
Four weeks of decline, -22% from 17 September to 12 October, then a week of recovery: +5% from the bottom. We cannot work out the full master set with the DarkDex Price, because for many commons and uncommons the history is not long enough yet. The rarest cards in the set and what they cost are on the page about the Chaos Rising chase cards.
Why Chaos Rising went down
Chaos Rising came out a few months before the 30th Celebration (16 September) and still had "launch" prices. We cannot say it is the only cause, but the picture matches Phantasmal Flames and Pitch Black: when a celebration set that people have waited months for comes out, collectors' attention and money move there, and the sets released just before lose buyers right when the people who opened them try to sell their best cards.
The difference, for now, is the October recovery: Mega Greninja ex #116, Mega Dragalge ex and Roxie's Performance are back up, while the Mega Hyper Rare and the Ultra Rares are still at their lowest.
Is it worth buying Chaos Rising cards now?
For buyers this drop has been an opportunity. But nobody can say for sure whether it is over.
If you want a card to keep, Mega Greninja ex #116 at €134 costs €53 less than at the end of August, even if €14 more than the 12 October bottom. The Mega Hyper Rare #122 at €86 is still at its lowest: among the top cards it is the one that costs least today compared with before.
If you are buying to resell, the data calls for caution: one week of recovery is not yet a reversal. It is worth watching the trend for a few more weeks.
If you already own the cards, you have not lost anything until you sell. Your collection is worth less today than in August, but that is a market value, not a realised loss.
How to keep an eye on Chaos Rising prices
The prices in this article are a snapshot as of 20 October. If you are waiting for the right moment to buy, the simplest way is to follow the cards you care about day by day.
Sign up for free on DarkDex and add your Chaos Rising cards to your collection, or the ones you want to your wishlist: for each card you see the DarkDex Price and the chart week by week, day by day, plus the total value of your collection.
Frequently asked questions
What is Mega Greninja ex from Chaos Rising worth?
The Special Illustration Rare (#116) is worth €133.60 on 20 October 2026, the Mega Hyper Rare (#122) €86.10 and the Ultra Rare (#100) €7.23.
How much have Chaos Rising cards lost?
The top 5 cards fell 26%, from €392.48 to €289.81. Of the thirteen cards that started at €5 or more, eleven went down, from -3% (Mega Dragalge ex) to -59% (Mega Floette ex #101). Roxie's Performance went up 27%.
Are Chaos Rising prices recovering?
Since 12 October, yes, but only a little: the ten most expensive cards have won back 5% and Mega Greninja ex #116 12%. The Mega Hyper Rare and the Ultra Rares are still at their lowest.
Is it time to buy Chaos Rising?
If you want to keep the cards, today's prices are much lower than August's. Nobody can guarantee the drop is over, though: if you are buying to resell, it is worth waiting for the recovery to hold.
Note. Prices are the DarkDex Price of Italian-language singles, Near Mint condition: the price DarkDex works out every day from real sales and offers, the same one you see on each card's page. Recorded every day from 30 August (or from 17 September, where shown) to 20 October 2026. Card prices move every day: this page is a snapshot, not a forecast or investment advice.